QUESTION: Marty, I was there at your Berlin conference when one of the attendees openly admitted he was from the Bundesbank. He was very open about it. There have been other central bankers at your WEC. I suppose they have to attend just to get a whiff of the trend. Powell has come out and asserted the Fed’s independence and it will not make policy based on climate change. That was very refreshing. The bulk of analysts still cry about the creation of money at the Fed are insisting that a recession is coming because when the Fed stops printing, we will see a correction worse than 2008. Some call this a confetti party. Many claim to be fed watchers, but have never stepped inside their door. Meeting the people I have at your WEC events, you are always in the center and I can see it is not your opinion but Socrates that they want to listen to for an unbiased view. So will there be a huge correction when this party is over or have the fed watches been talking sophistry with no real insight?
HD
PS: What about a Dubai WEC because the world imposes vaccine passports?
ANSWER: I know, This is the typical myopic domestic view that the Fed is in a very dangerous situation and a wrong move in any direction could cause a financial system meltdown worse than 2008. The argument is that since we have a debt-based monetary system if the Fed stops increasing the money supply this will lead to an economic withdrawal process that will be worse than 2008-2009. Once more, this is only looking at the domestic economy. They live with blinders on and do not see the world around us with respect to the globalization policies that are all in chaos.
Even at Davos in 2003, Alejandro Toledo, then President of Peru, urged the participants to listen to the voices of those protesting outside and to build a bridge with the participants of the Porto Alegre anti-globalization conference. “We must give a human face to the global economy and globalization,” he said. “Managing the economy is not an end in itself, but a means to improve the quality of life. Globalization is meaningless if it does not contribute to reducing poverty all over the world. “ Schwab preaches equality but at the price of Authoritarianism and the loss of individual rights.
The Fed is not between a rock and a hard place domestically. It just made it clear that it is not like the ECB and is not in the climate change business. The Fed is INDEPENDENT and will not be bullied by Biden. The Fed understands that it has become the world’s central bank and its actions in raising rates have had a far greater impact externally particularly in emerging markets because so many other nations issue their debt in US dollars.
The focus is not entirely on the nonsense of the domestic number of the money supply. If a foreigner buys property in the United States, they convert their currency to dollars, and in effect that increases the domestic money supply for that capital now frees up cash domestically. The Fed has no control over that aspect and central banks have become aware of this effect which is not taught in economics class and not factored into the doomsday forecasts all based on the same reasoning forever.
All the analysis is constantly based on the Quantity Theory of Money which no longer works in our global economy. That was the foundation of the money theory that emerged with Sir Thomas Gresham who was the agent for the British crown. He saw that when Henry VIII debased the coinage, the value declined in Amsterdam when the exchange rate was solely based upon the metal content of the currency.
All we have ever heard is that the Fed has the power to create money out of thin air. They never explain why the Fed was given that power. You cannot have a fixed money supply as the population increases, then you end up with DEFLATION which is the rise in the value of money. They are married to the argument and nothing you can do will deter them from that thinking process. During the Great Depression, people hoarded their money and did not spend it. That was why the ECB went to negative to try to force people to spend money in 2014. You can DOUBLE the money supply but if the people hoard it, you will never create inflation.
Because people hoard their cash, there was a huge contraction in the velocity of money during the Great Depression. This resulted in massive shortages and it led to over 200 cities issuing their own money to try to enable a local economy to still function for there was not enough cash to even pay anyone for services.
INFLATION is actually the decline in the purchasing power of the currency as measured against assets. DEFLATION is the rise in the value of money and the decline in the value of assets. The way the term “inflation” is handled today, the government puts the blame on the private sector. During DEFLATION we are blamed for not spending our money.
All this talk about bail-ins and bail-outs misses the point. They act as if they in the end really matter. HYPERINFLATION will never arrive based on increasing the money supply. It arrives with the collapse of CONFIDENCE in the government. Germany imposed a forced loan and confiscated 10% of everyone’s assets in December 1922. Germany lost the war and in 1918 there was a Communist Revolution that led to the creation of the Weimar Republic. The money supply increased 10 fold during 1922 when they were struggling to meet the reparation payments. That undermined the confidence in the government. But it was December 1922 when the Weimar Republic confiscated 10% of everyone’s assets. Note that the hyperinflation took off in 1923 after that forced loan. It was no longer safe to have assets in banks.
People were buying everything on the asset side from coins and stamps to art and land. They began to use the coins of other countries just as Japan saw when the emperors devalued the outstanding money supply to issue their own new coins.
This idea that we are headed into so black hole all because the Fed creates money is insane. This misinformation that the German Hyperinflation was all because of printing money was totally absurd and a lie. Once the government stole 10% of everyone’s assets, that was the final straw. They then had to print just to try to cover costs and meet reparation payments.
The Lesson of Germany is seriously distorted and has infected the view of money supply and inflation which ignores the actions of the government. That is the real issue.
Categories: Central Banks
Article Link: https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/central-banks/the-fed-the-misinformation/
COMMENT: The Fed….why would anyone put a greedy fox in charge of the hen house. Mr. Armstrong, you, of all people have more than a passing acquaintance with the corruption of the big banks. And these are the kindly gentlemen that have been appointed to “guide” monetary policy for our greater good. Simply don’t understand why you continue to extend respect & credibility, to a gang of thieves.
HS
REPLY: There is a HUGE difference between the New York Bankers and the Federal Reserve. In fact, I am in favor of barring CEOs from Goldman Sachs to head the Fed, Treasury, or any government agency. The Fed has its own agenda and it is not to flood the economy with money for Biden. Powell has said the Fed will not be into the climate change business which is the opposite of ECM and Christine Lagarde, who is a politician, and why the ECB cannot survive. The Feb may have bankers, but their self-interest is against that of the politicians. Additionally, do not paint all the bankers with the same brush as Goldman Sacks which I agree is a giant squid and I believe is a major threat to the world economy.
The Fed was originally intended to be a private bailout entity to replace J.P. Morgan and what he did during the Panic of 1907. Stimulation occurred through buying corporate paper – not government!
The Fed would expand the money supply during periods of economic decline and it would contract the money supply as the corporate paper was repaid. There was no such authority to perpetually create money at will on some covert perpetual basis. A banking crisis, as we have now in Europe, occurs when banks cannot meet the demand for withdrawals because they lent the money long-term. They would have to sell their portfolios at discounts to raise cash to meet the demands of depositors. Elastic money would meet the demands of depositors without having to liquidate the portfolios.
Elastic money was not some evil conspiracy. It was to keep money flowing when banks were contracting. Keep in mind there were also limitations on banks to regions. The Clintons removed all restraints and allowed interstate banking which siphons money from local regions and deploys it someplace else. If we returned the central bank to performing its original function, then the economy would be much more stable. Our problem is we live in a political economy where politicians just cannot keep their fingers out of everyone’s pockets.
There have been such shortages of cash even during Fed expansion policies because people will hoard their cash in times of economic uncertainty. This is why there are still hoards of Roman coins discovered. Human nature has not changed. During the Great Depression, over 200 cities issued their own money because there was such a shortage commerce could not continue.
We have exchanges even issuing Depression scrip backed by the financial markets. There just was not enough money to facilitate the economy. That is why the Federal Reserve has the authority to create money – not the treasury. We even have the first appearance of such private money that took place in 1815 thanks to the War of 1812, but then to the eruption of Mount Tambora which resulted in the Year without a Summer – 1816.
Here is a private note from 1837 due to the Panic and the resulting shortage of money then as well. The entire ability of the Fed to have the power of elastic money was to be able to create money in times of distress. People have focused on the Fed’s balance sheet and spun all sorts of conspiracy theories. What they do not address is what I was warning the Fed about buying in the 30-year bonds was NOT increasing the domestic money supply because the sellers were mainly China. The money was going outside the USA. This confusion led to others claiming MMT is now the economic theory because increasing the money supply failed to produce inflation. Once again, these ideas were entirely based on a domestic fish bowl economic model. We live in a globalized economy and the expansion of the money supply has no real bearing on anything because those theories assumed the money remains domestically – which has not been the case.
When WWI came, Congress ordered the Fed to buy government paper; not corporate. They never returned it to its original design. When Great Depression came, Congress at the direction of FDR usurped all branches that were created to be independent to manage domestic money flows and established a single national interest rate and the board was to be appointed by the President all for his socialist agenda. They ordered the Fed to support U.S. debt at par during WWII to prevent interest rates from rising.
As World War II approached, politics took control of the Fed. Once again the Fed was ordered to support US government bonds at par. This decree was not lifted until 1951. The Fed remained fairly independent thereafter until the Vietnam War. Politicians viewed its authority to increase the money supply on an elastic basis as meant that inflation was their problem, not Congress’. Politicians began to spend whatever they wanted to win elections and criticized the Fed if inflation appeared when they had no control over the fiscal spending of Congress.
The is independent and it has been at war with Congress before. The elastic money power is necessary because the Fed has expanded and then contracted the money supply. I would stress that the Fed returns to its original design and it should buy ONLY private paper – not government. The Fed is stimulating the government under the orders from WWI to buy government paper. It should no longer buy government paper – PERIOD!
Categories: Central Banks
Article Link: https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/central-banks/is-the-fed-a-den-of-thieves-or-independent/
For several years now, I have been telling everyone that Trump controls the Federal Reserve and that they are doing his bidding.
The Rothschilds are no longer the puppet masters of the most powerful central bank in the world.
Trump is now THEIR master.
The Rothschilds have completely controlled the entire global financial system for many generations. They created the Federal Reserve to be the most powerful central bank on the planet in order to control every government in every country.
By controlling the money supply of every nation, the Rothschilds made the entire population of the world debt slaves, as every government borrowed money from Rothschild-controlled central banks in order to finance everything, up to and including wars, their most profitable venture.
Going back to the Napoleonic Wars, where they manipulated the English Pound Sterling Bonds by causing a panic sell and buyback, thus giving them full control of the Bank of England while also putting the English Empire into massive debt, they have financed every side of all wars. In fact, they were even funding both sides of WW1 and WW2 before establishing the US dollar as the global reserve currency.
How did they do it?
They established a gold standard again for global currencies, which had fallen apart during WW1, as countries hoarded their gold rather than fulfilling their contractual obligations to one another. After WW2, the United States held the largest gold reserves, paving the way for the standard to come.
At this moment, the Federal Reserve became the most powerful bank on the planet.
The Rothschilds control of the world’s currency gave them control of everything.
Then came Trump.
Many of us know some history of Trump before he was president, and remember him filing for bankruptcy several times. He didn’t file for personal bankruptcy, but rather for chapter eleven for several of his businesses, and seemed to come out of it stronger.
That is because I believe Trump is a master of bankruptcy laws.
You bankrupt the system.
As a famous saying goes,
“When you owe the bank three hundred thousand dollars and can’t pay it back, you are in trouble. But when you owe the bank three hundred million dollars and can’t pay it back, then the bank is in trouble.”
The world is drowning in debt. Three hundred trillion dollars of debt, to be precise.
None of it can be paid back, which is why the enemy is desperate for a global reset, allowing them to confiscate all the assets. All of OUR assets.
But, as we know, Trump is always ten steps ahead of them.
‘They never thought she would lose.’
Remember?
We then got three more resignations, including some that look like they may have been forced by Trump himself, such as Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer, who stepped down in 2017.
According to Benzinga,
The Federal Reserve will lose an influential centrist with the resignation of Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer, according to a letter sent Wednesday to President Donald Trump.
Fischer will retire from the Board of Governors by Oct. 13 for “personal reasons,” leaving his leadership post one year early and cutting his general term with the Fed two years short.
So, two vacancies and three early resignations allowed Trump to appoint five of the seven governors to the board of the Federal Reserve during his tenure.
Then Trump pulled a genius move. He appointed Jerome Powell, who was already on the board of governors, to the position of chairman, replacing Janet Yellen, who was Obama’s appointment. That freed up another vacant position on the board of governors, which gave him six out of seven total positions and near full control of the Federal Reserve.
Speaking of Trump being a genius, here’s a short interview of James Rickards describing to perfection what Trump has done:
Trump controls the Fed and Powell is now his puppet.
Don’t believe me?
Not many people caught this important news story from November 2019.
According to Zerohedge:
Moments ago, the Fed announced that in a previously unannounced meeting that was not on the official White House calendar, Fed Chair Powell met with Trump and Mnuchin at the White House "to discuss the economy, growth, employment and inflation", marking the second face-to-face meeting between the world's two most powerful people amid Trump's relentless criticism of the central bank. As a reminder, Powell had dinner with the president in February and the two have spoken by telephone since.
An unannounced meeting that also wasn’t on the White House schedule?
Coincidence?
Several face-to-face talks, dinner together and phone calls? Nothing to see here, folks!
They talked about inflation?
Interesting, considering inflation was unleashed on the Biden Administration AFTER Trump left office and it has now helped trigger the collapse of the central banks debt system.
How’s that for timing?
So with Trump appointing all but one member of the board of governors over the Federal Reserve and the chairman he appointed cozying up to him, should it have been a surprise when this huge news hit?
I believe Trump used the plandemic the enemy launched on the world as the excuse he needed to roll the Federal Reserve into the US Treasury, which the President controls as part of the Executive Branch.
According to Bloomberg:
The Fed will finance a special purpose vehicle (SPV) for each acronym to conduct these operations. The Treasury, using the Exchange Stabilization Fund, will make an equity investment in each SPV and be in a “first loss” position. What does this mean? In essence, the Treasury, not the Fed, is buying all these securities and backstopping of loans; the Fed is acting as banker and providing financing. The Fed hired BlackRock Inc. to purchase these securities and handle the administration of the SPVs on behalf of the owner, the Treasury.
In other words, the federal government is nationalizing large swaths of the financial markets. The Fed is providing the money to do it. BlackRock will be doing the trades.
This scheme essentially merges the Fed and Treasury into one organization. So, meet your new Fed chairman, Donald J. Trump.
Trump assumed full control of the Federal Reserve, the most powerful central bank in the world.
The Exchange Stabilization Fund was a fund set up way back in 1934 that most people didn’t know existed. It was completely controlled by the Treasury and the president, exempt from Congressional approval. It was originally set up as a means of intervening in currency markets to benefit the U.S. economy, but now has since become a loan program for other countries’ central banks when they are in distress. Consider it a permanent bail-out option for global central banks.
Instead of bailing out central banks, Trump used this fund to bail out American companies that were struggling to survive during the plandemic, and forced the Federal Reserve to finance all of it.
The Federal Reserve and the US Treasury are now working for the American people, not the central banks.
With the Federal Reserve Note (US dollar) being the world’s reserve currency, and with countries forced to purchase oil in dollars, the Rothschilds and their global debt system is now hanging on the edge of a cliff. They no longer control the Fed or the dollar.
Remember how Q told us to think mirror?
From Q post 1953:
Think MIRROR. Know your enemy. "Every battle is won before it's ever fought." Knowledge is POWER. — Q
Remember when Trump first became president?
The Rothschilds controlled the Federal Reserve, and they quickly started jacking up interest rates on Trump’s administration in order to crash the market in an effort to stave off his chances of re-election.
But Trump used his bully pulpit to bash the Fed at the time for raising rates when all other central banks in the world were cutting theirs. He then started filling all the Fed governors vacancies, giving him total control.
They’ve raised interest rates faster and more aggressively than anybody expected, which has nearly crashed the market. I believe the market is going to go down further still, and that we’re entering a recession while Biden is president, earning him the blame.
Trump is master of the boomerang!
Crashing the market on Biden and the democrats to help destroy the democrat party was one benefit of the Fed raising rates to battle inflation, but not the biggest benefit.
What was?
When the Fed raised rates aggressively, it drove up the value of the dollar that every central bank is required to use in order to buy oil for their economies. Every central bank in the world was instantly put in financial trouble because their currencies were losing value against the dollar. In fact, three central banks have recently needed an emergency bailout because of this.
The dollar is actually the global debt system’s Achilles Heel.
Thus, these central banks—along with many countries, especially the BRICS alliance—are buying record amounts of gold.
This has all been part of the plan from the beginning.
Q shared this very important post:
As I have said many times, this is not talking about the Federal Reserve.
It doesn’t say, ‘Gold shall destroy THE Fed.’
It says:
Gold shall destroy FED.
That’s an acronym for this:
The rest of the world is also drowning in debt.
None of this debt was ever going to be paid back. You can’t keep borrowing forever and only making minimal interest payments. At some point, the interest payments become too high and you default. We were always going to reach the point of bankruptcy.
Or is the global central bank debt system going to go bankrupt?
A couple of huge stories just broke that most people haven’t heard anything about. These stories tell us not only who is winning this war, but also what’s coming.
According to Reuters:
STOCKHOLM, Jan 11 - Sweden's central bank expects to report a loss of 81 billion Swedish crowns ($7.72 billion) for 2022 due primarily to higher market interest rates, it said on Wednesday.
"The unrealised loss is mainly due to globally rising market interest rates, which has reduced the market value of the Riksbank's assets," it said in a statement.
According to Bloomberg:
Switzerland’s government will not receive a payout from the Swiss National Bank for 2022, as the central bank projects the biggest loss in its 116-year history.
The SNB expects an annual loss of about 132 billion francs ($143 billion), more than five times the previous record, it said Monday in preliminary results. The largest part of this, 131 billion francs, stems from collapsed valuations of its large pile of holdings in foreign currencies, accrued as a result of decade-long purchases to weaken the franc.
They no longer control the Fed or the dollar, and the exchange rates AGAINST that dollar are causing them heavy losses. They used to being able to manipulate the dollar anytime they wanted to, but now they can only react to what the Fed is doing.
There are three reasons for the strength of the dollar over the last few years:
According to an article at Elements:
The rapid raising of interest rates by the Federal Reserve and tightening of their balance sheet has resulted in U.S. dollars becoming a more scarce and valuable yield-bearing asset.
As interest rates have risen, so have yields for savings accounts and fixed-income securities like U.S. treasuries, making them a more attractive alternative for investors.At the same time, falling equity prices(especially in the technology sector) only further incentivized investors to pull out of riskier equity markets into the safety of the dollar.
Lastly, compared to many other global economies, the U.S. economy has remained resilient with the fewest risks on its horizon. Europe continues to face an ongoing energy crunch with the Russia-Ukraine conflict nearby, while China’s zero-COVID policies have hampered the country’s manufacturing sector, as well as other industries
The Rothschilds’ central bank debt system is now competing with the Federal Reserve rather than controlling it.
But there’s a much larger problem out there for the central banks that not many people are talking about.
So who uses Foreign Exchange Swaps?
From another article on Elements:
Corporations
Financial institutions
Central banks
To understand forex swaps is to look at the role of currency risk. As we have seen in 2022, the U.S. dollar has been on a tear. When this happens, it hurts company earnings that generate revenue across borders. That’s because they earn revenue in foreign currencies (which have likely declined in value against the dollar) but end up converting earnings to U.S. dollars.
In order to reduce currency risk, market participants will buy forex swaps. Here, two parties agree to exchange one currency for another. In short, this helps protect the company from unfavorable foreign exchange rates.
What’s more, due to accounting rules, forex swaps are often unrecorded on balance sheets, and as a result are quite opaque.
Gold shall destroy FED.
According to Bizfluent:
The main function of a foreign exchange department is to make money for the bank by speculating on whether a particular currency will rise or fall against another. Banks compete fiercely with each other using experienced market traders and millions of dollars or currency equivalents are exchanged daily.
Each bank has direct links to the main foreign exchange market in the country via dedicated phone lines and computers. The departments contain an array of screens providing constantly updated statistical and analytical data. Complex programs attempt to predict the future movement of currencies and instant decisions, as to whether to buy or sell a currency, can result in a bank making or losing substantial sums in seconds.
These Foreign Exchange Departments are speculating daily on currencies and can lose huge amounts of money in mere seconds.
That is a huge risk that has been made much greater with the Rothschilds no longer controlling the Fed and losing their ability to manipulate the dollar.
According to Elements:
No less than $65 trillion in unrecorded dollar debt circulates across the global financial system in non-U.S. banks and shadow banks. To put in perspective, global GDP sits at $104 trillion.
This dollar debt is in the form of foreign-exchange swaps, which have exploded over the last decade due to years of monetary easing and ultra-low interest rates, as investors searched for higher yields. Today, unrecorded debt from these foreign-exchange swaps is worth more than double the dollar debt officially recorded on balance sheets across these institutions.
This hidden dollar debt is a ticking time bomb.
Now, as interest rates have been rising, forex swaps have increased amid higher market volatility as investors look to hedge currency risk. This appears in both non-U.S. banks and non-U.S. shadow banks, which are unregulated financial intermediaries.
Overall, the value of unrecorded debt is staggering. An estimated $39 trillion is held by non-U.S. banks along with $26 trillion in overseas shadow banks around the world
This is unrecorded debt in unregulated financial intermediaries.
Can you see now why the dollar is the Achilles Heel of the whole global central bank debt system?
The Rothschild puppet masters have used the dollar and the Federal Reserve as a weapon against the world since the end of WW2.
That has come to an end.
Now Trump, the master of 5D chess is commander of the enemy’s greatest weapon, and has turned that weapon against them!
Badlands Media articles and features represent the opinions of the contributing authors and do not necessarily represent the views of Badlands Media itself.
Article Link: https://badlands.substack.com/p/master-and-commander?utm_medium=ios